The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenJune 25, 2026

Garcia / Lijo v Jofre / Bautista

Madison Arena 201:17

Pre-match odds

Garcia / Lijo

30%

Avg Elo 1646

Jofre / Bautista

70%

Avg Elo 1720

Elo gap 75

Jofre / Bautista delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.