The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenJune 24, 2026

Castello / Rufo v Lopez / Touly

Madison Arena 101:41

Pre-match odds

Castello / Rufo

88%

Avg Elo 1673

Lopez / Touly

12%

Avg Elo 1501

Elo gap 172

Castello / Rufo delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.