The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenJune 26, 2026

Jensen / Icardo v Gonzalez / Josemaria

Caja Rural Zamora01:28

Pre-match odds

Jensen / Icardo

7%

Avg Elo 1834

Gonzalez / Josemaria

93%

Avg Elo 2062

Elo gap 229

Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 93% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.