The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenJuly 1, 2026

Perez / Martinez v Castello / Talavan

Pre-match odds

Perez / Martinez

38%

Avg Elo 1612

Castello / Talavan

62%

Avg Elo 1656

Elo gap 44

Castello / Talavan delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.