The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenJuly 2, 2026

Bidahorria / Caparros v Guinart / Virseda

Pre-match odds

Bidahorria / Caparros

10%

Avg Elo 1610

Guinart / Virseda

90%

Avg Elo 1799

Elo gap 189

Guinart / Virseda delivered as 90% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.