The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenJuly 16, 2026

Navarro / Di Nenno v Rodriguez / De Pascual

Pre-match odds

Navarro / Di Nenno

89%

Avg Elo 1854

Rodriguez / De Pascual

11%

Avg Elo 1673

Elo gap 182

Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.