Round of 16WomenSeptember 3, 2026
Jensen / Icardo v Rodriguez / Canovas
Pre-match odds
Jensen / Icardo
93%
Avg Elo 1915
Rodriguez / Canovas
7%
Avg Elo 1695
Elo gap 220
Jensen / Icardo delivered as 93% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Jensen / IcardoRodriguez / Canovas
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
60%
69%
51%
70%
60%
46%
75%
80%
16
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 31%
- Points won on serve 33%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 40%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
69%
72%
67%
71%
100%
60%
100%
75%
15
3
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
54%
68%
36%
70%
50%
33%
50%
100%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.