QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 4, 2026
Jensen / Icardo v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Jensen / Icardo
40%
Avg Elo 1919
Ustero / Sanchez
60%
Avg Elo 1956
Elo gap 37
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 60% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Jensen / IcardoUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 24%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 14
45%
53%
37%
48%
76%
36%
40%
22%
6
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
51%
60%
41%
58%
67%
38%
60%
25%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 71%
- Points won on serve 89%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 88%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 62%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
29%
43%
11%
38%
100%
12%
0%
0%
2
3
Set 3
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
47%
48%
46%
42%
100%
48%
33%
20%
6
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.