The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026

Ronco / Mendez v Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

Pro Padel 2

Pre-match odds

Ronco / Mendez

21%

Avg Elo 1533

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

79%

Avg Elo 1650

Elo gap 117

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco delivered as 79% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ronco / MendezRodrigo / Dal Bianco

45%
Points won
55%
54%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
46%
53%
1st-serve points won
63%
56%
2nd-serve points won
73%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
27%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
25%
Break points converted
36%
3
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
61%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
39%
57%
1st-serve points won
63%
100%
2nd-serve points won
57%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
50%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
50%
51%
1st-serve points won
62%
43%
2nd-serve points won
100%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
50%
Break points converted
30%
3
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.