The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026

Lamperti / Alvarez v Valdes / Benitez

Pro Padel 1

Pre-match odds

Lamperti / Alvarez

26%

Avg Elo 1469

Valdes / Benitez

74%

Avg Elo 1559

Elo gap 90

Valdes / Benitez delivered as 74% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lamperti / AlvarezValdes / Benitez

49%
Points won
51%
64%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
36%
67%
1st-serve points won
65%
46%
2nd-serve points won
60%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
54%
22%
Break points converted
44%
6
Longest run of points
7
15
Service games
15
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

41%
Points won
59%
54%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
46%
56%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4
1
Double faults
0

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
81%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
19%
82%
1st-serve points won
66%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
25%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 3

45%
Points won
55%
53%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
47%
58%
1st-serve points won
63%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
25%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.