The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026

Muñoz / Zamora v Garcia / Luna

Winner
76
Pro Padel 1

Pre-match odds

Muñoz / Zamora

44%

Avg Elo 1490

Garcia / Luna

56%

Avg Elo 1511

Elo gap 22

Garcia / Luna delivered as 56% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Muñoz / ZamoraGarcia / Luna

45%
Points won
55%
58%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
42%
62%
1st-serve points won
67%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
22%
6
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
62%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
38%
69%
1st-serve points won
66%
25%
2nd-serve points won
50%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Set 2

37%
Points won
63%
47%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
53%
44%
1st-serve points won
68%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.