Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026
Sager / Oria v Patiniotis / Garcia
Pre-match odds
Sager / Oria
19%
Avg Elo 1452
Patiniotis / Garcia
81%
Avg Elo 1579
Elo gap 127
Patiniotis / Garcia delivered as 81% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Sager / OriaPatiniotis / Garcia
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 12
51%
71%
36%
70%
71%
35%
50%
8%
6
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
48%
62%
37%
63%
50%
36%
40%
12%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 19%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 21%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
54%
81%
36%
79%
100%
35%
100%
0%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.