Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026
Cepero / Aliaga v Calleja / Romera
Pre-match odds
Cepero / Aliaga
33%
Avg Elo 1511
Calleja / Romera
67%
Avg Elo 1571
Elo gap 60
Calleja / Romera delivered as 67% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Cepero / AliagaCalleja / Romera
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 36%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 16
48%
61%
34%
59%
71%
31%
60%
29%
6
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 6
47%
65%
27%
62%
80%
27%
33%
0%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 38%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
52%
61%
42%
61%
62%
37%
100%
67%
6
6
Set 3
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
42%
54%
30%
52%
100%
26%
50%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.