The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026

Lacamoire / Melero v Ayats / Sanchez

Pro Padel 1

Pre-match odds

Lacamoire / Melero

25%

Avg Elo 1515

Ayats / Sanchez

75%

Avg Elo 1609

Elo gap 95

Ayats / Sanchez delivered as 75% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lacamoire / MeleroAyats / Sanchez

43%
Points won
57%
59%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
41%
58%
1st-serve points won
76%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
67%
7
Longest run of points
11
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

41%
Points won
59%
58%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
42%
58%
1st-serve points won
80%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
20%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
59%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
41%
59%
1st-serve points won
74%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
11
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.