The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenAugust 29, 2026

Figuerola / Belmont v Dominguez / Belluati

Pre-match odds

Figuerola / Belmont

59%

Avg Elo 1575

Dominguez / Belluati

41%

Avg Elo 1543

Elo gap 32

Dominguez / Belluati won as slight underdogs (41%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Figuerola / BelmontDominguez / Belluati

43%
Points won
57%
59%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
41%
59%
1st-serve points won
75%
62%
2nd-serve points won
100%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
55%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
45%
59%
1st-serve points won
68%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
29%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
67%
Points won on serve
83%
17%
Points won on return
33%
59%
1st-serve points won
83%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.