The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenAugust 30, 2026

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco v Valdes / Benitez

Pro Padel 201:25

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

64%

Avg Elo 1619

Valdes / Benitez

36%

Avg Elo 1569

Elo gap 50

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco delivered as 64% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / Dal BiancoValdes / Benitez

53%
Points won
47%
67%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
33%
65%
1st-serve points won
66%
88%
2nd-serve points won
71%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
12%
50%
Break points converted
17%
6
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
64%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
36%
62%
1st-serve points won
64%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
17%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
74%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
26%
74%
1st-serve points won
68%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.