The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenAugust 30, 2026

Gonzalez / Abud v Gutierrez / Melendez

Pro Padel 201:07

Pre-match odds

Gonzalez / Abud

63%

Avg Elo 1647

Gutierrez / Melendez

37%

Avg Elo 1599

Elo gap 48

Gonzalez / Abud delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gonzalez / AbudGutierrez / Melendez

54%
Points won
46%
68%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
32%
71%
1st-serve points won
64%
40%
2nd-serve points won
40%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
50%
Break points converted
25%
7
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
74%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
26%
73%
1st-serve points won
68%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
64%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
36%
69%
1st-serve points won
61%
25%
2nd-serve points won
40%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
50%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.