The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenAugust 30, 2026

Zamora / Vilariño v Archieri / Sanchez

Winner
67
Pro Padel 101:17

Pre-match odds

Zamora / Vilariño

64%

Avg Elo 1620

Archieri / Sanchez

36%

Avg Elo 1568

Elo gap 52

Archieri / Sanchez won as slight underdogs (36%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Zamora / VilariñoArchieri / Sanchez

50%
Points won
50%
74%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
26%
73%
1st-serve points won
70%
82%
2nd-serve points won
67%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
18%
0%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
8
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
78%
Points won on serve
83%
17%
Points won on return
22%
79%
1st-serve points won
83%
75%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
72%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
28%
69%
1st-serve points won
64%
86%
2nd-serve points won
60%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
0%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.