Round of 16MenAugust 30, 2026
Gil / Reina v Geens / Guichard
Pre-match odds
Gil / Reina
16%
Avg Elo 1489
Geens / Guichard
84%
Avg Elo 1631
Elo gap 142
Geens / Guichard delivered as 84% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gil / ReinaGeens / Guichard
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 77%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 9
42%
60%
23%
62%
43%
24%
0%
0%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 76%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
41%
56%
24%
59%
33%
25%
0%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 78%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 77%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 5
43%
63%
22%
65%
50%
23%
0%
0%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.