The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenAugust 30, 2026

Ayats / Sanchez v Dominguez / Belluati

Pro Padel 100:56

Pre-match odds

Ayats / Sanchez

64%

Avg Elo 1620

Dominguez / Belluati

36%

Avg Elo 1570

Elo gap 50

Ayats / Sanchez delivered as 64% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ayats / SanchezDominguez / Belluati

60%
Points won
40%
84%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
16%
83%
1st-serve points won
64%
100%
2nd-serve points won
60%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
81%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
19%
79%
1st-serve points won
72%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

69%
Points won
31%
89%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
11%
89%
1st-serve points won
47%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
11%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.