Round of 16WomenAugust 30, 2026
Nogueira / Baldi v Escacena / Aguilar
Pre-match odds
Nogueira / Baldi
41%
Avg Elo 1554
Escacena / Aguilar
59%
Avg Elo 1585
Elo gap 32
Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 59% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Nogueira / BaldiEscacena / Aguilar
- Points won 69%
- Points won on serve 79%
- Points won on return 59%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 88%
- Break points converted 56%
- Longest run of points 20
- Service games 7
31%
41%
21%
48%
12%
21%
25%
0%
4
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 72%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 63%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 3
28%
37%
20%
50%
0%
17%
50%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 66%
- Points won on serve 77%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 53%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 4
34%
45%
23%
47%
33%
25%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.