Round of 16WomenAugust 30, 2026
Peralta / Merino v Las Heras / Mesa
Pre-match odds
Peralta / Merino
54%
Avg Elo 1562
Las Heras / Mesa
46%
Avg Elo 1549
Elo gap 13
Las Heras / Mesa won a near coin flip (46%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Peralta / MerinoLas Heras / Mesa
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 51%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 51%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 53%
- Break points converted 58%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 14
45%
49%
42%
49%
47%
42%
40%
71%
7
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
54%
65%
39%
71%
33%
37%
50%
67%
7
5
Set 2
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 68%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 73%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 4
38%
32%
43%
27%
50%
39%
60%
100%
5
4
Set 3
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 59%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 64%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
42%
41%
42%
36%
60%
48%
17%
67%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.