The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenAugust 30, 2026

Valenzuela / Godallier v Rose / Lopez

Pro Padel 101:03

Pre-match odds

Valenzuela / Godallier

83%

Avg Elo 1686

Rose / Lopez

17%

Avg Elo 1548

Elo gap 138

Valenzuela / Godallier delivered as 83% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Valenzuela / GodallierRose / Lopez

60%
Points won
40%
71%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
29%
80%
1st-serve points won
52%
25%
2nd-serve points won
29%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
67%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
70%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
30%
72%
1st-serve points won
41%
50%
2nd-serve points won
40%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
72%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
28%
87%
1st-serve points won
60%
17%
2nd-serve points won
0%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.