Round of 16WomenAugust 30, 2026
Lopez / Fassio v Ortiz / Kurz
Pre-match odds
Lopez / Fassio
55%
Avg Elo 1563
Ortiz / Kurz
45%
Avg Elo 1546
Elo gap 18
Lopez / Fassio delivered as 55% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Lopez / FassioOrtiz / Kurz
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 42%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 8%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 8
61%
64%
58%
67%
40%
48%
92%
86%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 33%
- Points won on serve 33%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 38%
- 2nd-serve points won 20%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 3
67%
67%
67%
68%
50%
62%
80%
75%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
56%
62%
53%
65%
33%
39%
100%
100%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.