Round of 16WomenAugust 30, 2026
Carrascosa / Fernandez v Borrero / Navarro
Pre-match odds
Carrascosa / Fernandez
25%
Avg Elo 1487
Borrero / Navarro
75%
Avg Elo 1581
Elo gap 94
Borrero / Navarro delivered as 75% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Carrascosa / FernandezBorrero / Navarro
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 57%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 7
41%
43%
37%
43%
43%
38%
29%
100%
3
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
42%
50%
30%
55%
40%
30%
33%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 64%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 67%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
39%
36%
44%
33%
50%
50%
25%
100%
2
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.