QuarterfinalWomenAugust 31, 2026
Las Heras / Mesa v Martinez / Carnicero
Pre-match odds
Las Heras / Mesa
48%
Avg Elo 1572
Martinez / Carnicero
52%
Avg Elo 1581
Elo gap 9
Las Heras / Mesa won a near coin flip (48%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Las Heras / MesaMartinez / Carnicero
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 31%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 10
55%
61%
49%
59%
69%
49%
50%
42%
7
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 44%
- Break points converted 22%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
54%
57%
50%
58%
56%
49%
57%
33%
7
6
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
56%
66%
47%
60%
100%
48%
0%
67%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.