The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenAugust 31, 2026

Valenzuela / Godallier v Polo / Gomez

Pro Padel 101:16

Pre-match odds

Valenzuela / Godallier

84%

Avg Elo 1694

Polo / Gomez

16%

Avg Elo 1552

Elo gap 142

Valenzuela / Godallier delivered as 84% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Valenzuela / GodallierPolo / Gomez

58%
Points won
42%
62%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
38%
63%
1st-serve points won
49%
56%
2nd-serve points won
22%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
78%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
43%
Break points converted
40%
9
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
65%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
56%
67%
2nd-serve points won
14%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
86%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
27%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
58%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
42%
61%
1st-serve points won
38%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.