The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 8, 2026

Gil / Lijo v Alfonso / Libaak

Court 702:01

Pre-match odds

Gil / Lijo

25%

Avg Elo 1645

Alfonso / Libaak

75%

Avg Elo 1740

Elo gap 96

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 75% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gil / LijoAlfonso / Libaak

45%
Points won
55%
60%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
40%
58%
1st-serve points won
72%
73%
2nd-serve points won
100%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
27%
50%
Break points converted
30%
5
Longest run of points
7
13
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
63%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
37%
58%
1st-serve points won
72%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
67%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
33%
69%
1st-serve points won
68%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 3

35%
Points won
65%
45%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
55%
42%
1st-serve points won
75%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
7
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.