The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 7, 2026

Garcia / Aguirre v Deus / Deus

Court 700:54

Pre-match odds

Garcia / Aguirre

68%

Avg Elo 1615

Deus / Deus

32%

Avg Elo 1548

Elo gap 67

Garcia / Aguirre delivered as 68% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garcia / AguirreDeus / Deus

64%
Points won
36%
91%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
9%
90%
1st-serve points won
53%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
10%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
89%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
11%
87%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
94%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
6%
94%
1st-serve points won
60%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
6%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.