The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 7, 2026

Ortega / Ruiz v Cabeza / Gonzalez

Court 701:21

Pre-match odds

Ortega / Ruiz

15%

Avg Elo 1523

Cabeza / Gonzalez

85%

Avg Elo 1677

Elo gap 154

Cabeza / Gonzalez delivered as 85% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortega / RuizCabeza / Gonzalez

49%
Points won
51%
65%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
35%
66%
1st-serve points won
73%
62%
2nd-serve points won
55%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
45%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
100%
Break points converted
29%
5
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
75%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
25%
75%
1st-serve points won
78%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
60%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
40%
61%
1st-serve points won
69%
56%
2nd-serve points won
57%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
100%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.