The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 7, 2026

Zamora / Vilariño v Fdz Lancha / Perino

Court 501:56

Pre-match odds

Zamora / Vilariño

71%

Avg Elo 1598

Fdz Lancha / Perino

29%

Avg Elo 1519

Elo gap 79

Zamora / Vilariño delivered as 71% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Zamora / VilariñoFdz Lancha / Perino

50%
Points won
50%
61%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
39%
61%
1st-serve points won
66%
57%
2nd-serve points won
42%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
58%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
33%
Break points converted
27%
5
Longest run of points
7
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
62%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
58%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
14%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
55%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
45%
53%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
57%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
17%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 3

52%
Points won
48%
63%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
37%
66%
1st-serve points won
70%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.