The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 8, 2026

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco v Dominguez / Belluati

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

75%

Avg Elo 1647

Dominguez / Belluati

25%

Avg Elo 1553

Elo gap 94

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco delivered as 75% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / Dal BiancoDominguez / Belluati

60%
Points won
40%
64%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
36%
61%
1st-serve points won
44%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
67%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
33%
62%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
62%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.