Round of 64MenSeptember 8, 2026
Rodriguez / Abbate v Collado / Hernandez
Pre-match odds
Upset74%
Avg Elo 1667
26%
Avg Elo 1576
Elo gap 91
Collado / Hernandez won with a 26% chance — about 1 in 4.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Rodriguez / AbbateCollado / Hernandez
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 86%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 88%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 75%
- Points won on serve 94%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 100%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 81%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.