Round of 64MenSeptember 8, 2026
Diestro / Sintes v Goenaga / Castaño
Pre-match odds
Diestro / Sintes
60%
Avg Elo 1646
Goenaga / Castaño
40%
Avg Elo 1610
Elo gap 36
Diestro / Sintes delivered as 60% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Diestro / SintesGoenaga / Castaño
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 10
52%
58%
46%
60%
25%
47%
40%
31%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
50%
60%
39%
62%
0%
40%
33%
29%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 45%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 44%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
55%
54%
55%
55%
50%
56%
50%
33%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.