The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 8, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Chozas / De Pascual

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

46%

Avg Elo 1657

Chozas / De Pascual

54%

Avg Elo 1670

Elo gap 13

Chozas / De Pascual won a near coin flip (54%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraChozas / De Pascual

41%
Points won
59%
47%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
53%
46%
1st-serve points won
65%
56%
2nd-serve points won
71%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
50%
Break points converted
42%
5
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
44%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
56%
43%
1st-serve points won
63%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
50%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
50%
48%
1st-serve points won
67%
60%
2nd-serve points won
75%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.