The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenSeptember 8, 2026

Ayats / Sanchez v Capra / Sanchez

Court 501:54

Pre-match odds

Ayats / Sanchez

77%

Avg Elo 1656

Capra / Sanchez

23%

Avg Elo 1554

Elo gap 103

Ayats / Sanchez delivered as 77% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ayats / SanchezCapra / Sanchez

57%
Points won
43%
77%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
23%
77%
1st-serve points won
56%
75%
2nd-serve points won
70%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
30%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
60%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
73%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
27%
74%
1st-serve points won
59%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

65%
Points won
35%
84%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
16%
82%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.