The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Alfonso / Libaak

Philippe Chatrier01:14

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

98%

Avg Elo 2082

Alfonso / Libaak

2%

Avg Elo 1750

Elo gap 332

Tapia / Coello delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloAlfonso / Libaak

57%
Points won
43%
72%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
28%
73%
1st-serve points won
55%
60%
2nd-serve points won
75%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
60%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
67%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
33%
68%
1st-serve points won
56%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
76%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
24%
77%
1st-serve points won
55%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.