Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026
Mouriño / Quilez v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Mouriño / Quilez
14%
Avg Elo 1619
Guerrero / Leal
86%
Avg Elo 1780
Elo gap 161
Guerrero / Leal delivered as 86% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Mouriño / QuilezGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 54%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 11
45%
61%
26%
65%
46%
25%
40%
33%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
43%
61%
20%
67%
43%
21%
0%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
46%
61%
29%
63%
50%
27%
50%
33%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.