The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Cabeza / Gonzalez

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

73%

Avg Elo 1766

Cabeza / Gonzalez

27%

Avg Elo 1682

Elo gap 85

Campagnolo / Gonzalez delivered as 73% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezCabeza / Gonzalez

59%
Points won
41%
79%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
21%
79%
1st-serve points won
60%
80%
2nd-serve points won
60%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
50%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
72%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
28%
74%
1st-serve points won
52%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
87%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
13%
85%
1st-serve points won
68%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
15%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.