The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Moragues / Fonteny v Arroyo / Jimenez

Philippe Chatrier01:21

Pre-match odds

Moragues / Fonteny

18%

Avg Elo 1595

Arroyo / Jimenez

82%

Avg Elo 1727

Elo gap 132

Arroyo / Jimenez delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Moragues / FontenyArroyo / Jimenez

47%
Points won
53%
61%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
39%
61%
1st-serve points won
66%
62%
2nd-serve points won
100%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
40%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
8
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
67%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
33%
67%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
58%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
42%
57%
1st-serve points won
63%
60%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
100%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.