The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Barahona / Sanchez v Zamora / Vilariño

Court 402:03

Pre-match odds

Barahona / Sanchez

53%

Avg Elo 1619

Zamora / Vilariño

47%

Avg Elo 1608

Elo gap 11

Barahona / Sanchez won a near coin flip (53%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Barahona / SanchezZamora / Vilariño

55%
Points won
45%
65%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
35%
64%
1st-serve points won
51%
70%
2nd-serve points won
72%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
28%
Points won returning 2nd serve
30%
50%
Break points converted
18%
9
Longest run of points
6
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
59%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
58%
50%
2nd-serve points won
78%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

69%
Points won
31%
84%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
16%
81%
1st-serve points won
36%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 3

55%
Points won
45%
61%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
39%
61%
1st-serve points won
50%
67%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
12%
9
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.