The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Geens / Guichard v Lebron / Augsburger

Philippe Chatrier00:53

Pre-match odds

Geens / Guichard

8%

Avg Elo 1657

Lebron / Augsburger

92%

Avg Elo 1865

Elo gap 209

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Geens / GuichardLebron / Augsburger

34%
Points won
66%
40%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
60%
42%
1st-serve points won
73%
29%
2nd-serve points won
67%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
71%
0%
Break points converted
83%
5
Longest run of points
6
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

32%
Points won
68%
36%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
64%
37%
1st-serve points won
73%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
63%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
100%
1
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
3

Set 2

36%
Points won
64%
43%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
57%
47%
1st-serve points won
73%
25%
2nd-serve points won
50%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.