The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Stupaczuk / Sanz v Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

Court 701:12

Pre-match odds

Stupaczuk / Sanz

89%

Avg Elo 1844

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

11%

Avg Elo 1661

Elo gap 183

Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Stupaczuk / SanzRodrigo / Dal Bianco

56%
Points won
44%
69%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
56%
73%
2nd-serve points won
67%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
27%
43%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
62%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
38%
59%
1st-serve points won
71%
75%
2nd-serve points won
60%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
81%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
19%
83%
1st-serve points won
44%
67%
2nd-serve points won
75%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.