Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026
Moya / Leygue v Esbri / Gutierrez
Pre-match odds
UpsetMoya / Leygue
12%
Avg Elo 1547
Esbri / Gutierrez
88%
Avg Elo 1721
Elo gap 174
Moya / Leygue won with a 12% chance — about 1 in 8.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Moya / LeygueEsbri / Gutierrez
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 49%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 27%
- Points won returning 1st serve 49%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 35%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 15
51%
51%
50%
51%
50%
48%
73%
50%
6
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 39%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 38%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
59%
58%
61%
64%
25%
62%
50%
60%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
44%
50%
37%
54%
25%
32%
60%
25%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 57%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
51%
48%
53%
43%
75%
49%
100%
57%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.