The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026

Garrido / Bergamini v Martinez / Hernandez

Pre-match odds

Garrido / Bergamini

58%

Avg Elo 1682

Martinez / Hernandez

42%

Avg Elo 1653

Elo gap 29

Martinez / Hernandez won as slight underdogs (42%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garrido / BergaminiMartinez / Hernandez

42%
Points won
58%
48%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
52%
46%
1st-serve points won
61%
57%
2nd-serve points won
78%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
25%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
20
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

26%
Points won
74%
29%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
71%
23%
1st-serve points won
71%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
77%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
20
3
Service games
4

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
53%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
47%
54%
1st-serve points won
55%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
40%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.