Round of 32MenSeptember 9, 2026
Tello / Arce v Chozas / De Pascual
Pre-match odds
Upset80%
Avg Elo 1812
20%
Avg Elo 1693
Elo gap 120
Chozas / De Pascual won with a 20% chance — about 1 in 5.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tello / ArceChozas / De Pascual
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
Set 2
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.