The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 10, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Ruiz / Garcia

Philippe-Chatrier01:08

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 2083

Ruiz / Garcia

1%

Avg Elo 1714

Elo gap 369

Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloRuiz / Garcia

57%
Points won
43%
75%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
25%
76%
1st-serve points won
53%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
24%
78%
1st-serve points won
48%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
74%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
26%
74%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.