Round of 16MenSeptember 10, 2026
Jofre / Bautista v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Jofre / Bautista
41%
Avg Elo 1753
Guerrero / Leal
59%
Avg Elo 1785
Elo gap 32
Guerrero / Leal delivered as 59% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Jofre / BautistaGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 10
43%
62%
26%
63%
57%
26%
25%
0%
7
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
45%
59%
34%
59%
60%
33%
50%
0%
7
4
Set 2
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 87%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 86%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 5
41%
65%
13%
67%
50%
14%
0%
0%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.