The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 10, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Arroyo / Jimenez

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

63%

Avg Elo 1778

Arroyo / Jimenez

37%

Avg Elo 1733

Elo gap 45

Campagnolo / Gonzalez delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezArroyo / Jimenez

59%
Points won
41%
76%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
55%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
33%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
5
12
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
70%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
30%
71%
1st-serve points won
66%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

68%
Points won
32%
74%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
26%
73%
1st-serve points won
44%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 3

62%
Points won
38%
84%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
50%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
29%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.