The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 10, 2026

Barahona / Sanchez v Lebron / Augsburger

Philippe-Chatrier02:21

Pre-match odds

Barahona / Sanchez

7%

Avg Elo 1641

Lebron / Augsburger

93%

Avg Elo 1870

Elo gap 230

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 93% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Barahona / SanchezLebron / Augsburger

48%
Points won
52%
62%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
38%
59%
1st-serve points won
67%
79%
2nd-serve points won
71%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
21%
43%
Break points converted
30%
8
Longest run of points
9
16
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
57%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
43%
55%
1st-serve points won
64%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
67%
Break points converted
20%
4
Longest run of points
9
5
Service games
5

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
64%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
36%
60%
1st-serve points won
68%
86%
2nd-serve points won
67%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
100%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

46%
Points won
54%
64%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
36%
63%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.